Table 7.
Stay-at-home policies, social distancing, and trust — heterogeneous effect — within 30 days of order
| Non-essential visits | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poverty | Urbanism | Education | ||||
| Below | Above | Rural | Urban | Below | Above | |
| median | median | median | median | |||
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| After order | –0.181*** | –0.240*** | –0.189* | –0.239*** | 0.006 | –0.215*** |
| (0.040) | (0.064) | (0.111) | (0.040) | (0.072) | (0.039) | |
| After order | –0.113** | –0.309*** | –0.168 | –0.158*** | –0.129 | –0.109*** |
| × Trust | (0.049) | (0.078) | (0.106) | (0.041) | (0.090) | (0.039) |
| After order | –0.026 | 0.013 | 0.021 | 0.006 | –0.046 | 0.017 |
| × Religion | (0.019) | (0.025) | (0.033) | (0.016) | (0.029) | (0.016) |
| After order | –0.084* | –0.050 | 0.002 | –0.013 | –0.104 | –0.063 |
| × Fear | (0.045) | (0.073) | (0.072) | (0.044) | (0.070) | (0.040) |
| After order | –0.158*** | –0.139** | 0.064 | –0.147*** | 0.011 | –0.180*** |
| × Democrats | (0.034) | (0.066) | (0.154) | (0.032) | (0.095) | (0.029) |
| Observations | 13,783 | 9673 | 3630 | 19,826 | 5040 | 18,416 |
| R-squared | 0.622 | 0.620 | 0.500 | 0.631 | 0.561 | 0.626 |
The dependent variable is our index for non-essential visits. The sample is restricted to within 30 days (before and after) of the implementation of a stay-at-home order unless the order in a specific state ends before 30 days. All specifications include day and county fixed effects and a variable for the daily COVID-19-related death rates at the county level. We also control for other implemented policies interacted with the After order dummy: making masks mandatory (county level), school closures, business closure, cancellation of public events, gathering restrictions, closure of public transportation, and international travel control (state level). Columns have restricted subsamples: (1) below and (2) above median poverty; (3) rural (4) urban counties; (5) below and (6) above median education (college or more) Standard errors clustered at the county level. *** p< 0.01; ** p< 0.05; * p< 0.1