Table 2 .

Model performance for logit with addition of log HLOS and ROD (NC: not computed)

Model title	Logit1: lnday	Logit1: lnrod	Logit2: lnday	Logit2: lnrod	Logit3:lnday	Logit3:lnrod
Index
ROC AUC	0.921	0.934	0.923	0.936	0.917	0.935
H-L statistic; P-value	0.000	0.060	0.000	0.013	0.000	0.054
Out-of-sample shrinkage %	0.940	0.020	−1.370	0.750
In-sample-shrinkage %	0.380	−0.500	−2.350	−0.380
Overfitting %	0.560	0.510	0.960	1.120
Calibration belt: P-value	0.000	NC	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
AIC	31,306.41	30,574.13	31,077.06	30,492.24	31,148.98	30,523.52
BIC	322,421.1	31,489.52	33,039.96	32,455.96	32,073.81	31,448.36
Development set
CITL					0.005	0.017
C-slope					1.005	1.004
AUC					0.923	0.935
E:O ratio					0.997	0.998
Validation set
CITL					0.005	0.017
C-slope					1.005	1.004
AUC					0.923	0.935
E:O ratio					0.997	0.990