Table 1.
Projected number of older adults with impairment (in millions) by gender by 95% uncertainty interval. Percentages are unadjusted
| 2015 | 2060 | Annual relative change (%) | Relative change (2015–2060) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All older adult | ||||
| Total older adult | 159·07 (158·98–159·16) | 439·34 (438·31–440·37) | 3·92% (3·9–3·93) | 176·1% (175·6–176·6) |
| Older adult without impairment | 141·15 (141·04–141·26) | 343·16 (342·44–343·88) | 3·18% (3·17–3·19) | 143·1% (142·7–143·4) |
| Older adult with impairment | 17·920 (17·829–18·012) | 96·184 (95·280–97·087) | 9·71% (9·65–9·76) | 436·7% (434·4–439) |
| Fraction with impairment (%) | 11·26% (11·21–11·32) | 21·83% (21·66–22·00) | 2.08%(2.07–2.09) | 93.6%(93.15–94.05) |
| Female | ||||
| Total older adult | 81·175 (81·108–81·242) | 221·45 (220·78–222·13) | 3·84% (3·83–3·85) | 172·8% (172·2–173·4) |
| Older adult without impairment | 69·782 (69·709–69·856) | 164·51 (164·09–164·93) | 3·017% (3–3·025) | 135·7% (135·4–136·1) |
| Older adult with impairment | 11·393 (11·331–11.455) | 56.943 (56.384–57.502) | 8.88% (8.84–8.93) | 399.8% (397.6–401.9) |
| Fraction with impairment (%) | 14·03% (13·96–14·10) | 25·62% (25·43–25·81) | 1.84%(1.83–1.85) | 82.61%(82.16–83.0) |
| Men | ||||
| Total older adult | 77·90 (77·84–77·96) | 217·88 (217·19–218·58) | 3·99% (3·98–4·01) | 179·6% (179–180·3) |
| Older adult without impairment | 71·376 (71·300–71·452) | 178·64 (178·11–179·18) | 3·34% (3·33–3·35) | 150·2% (149·8–150·7) |
| Older adult with impairment | 6·527 (6·472–6·582) | 39·241 (38·684–39·798) | 11·14% (11·06–11·21) | 501·2% (497·7–504·6) |
| Fraction with impairment (%) | 8·38% (8·31–8·45) | 17·92% (17·71–18·14) | 2.53%(2.51–2.55) | 113.84%(113.12–114.67) |