Table 5. Optimum number of additional samples needed to detect COVID-19.
P/T | i | Population size | E | 𝜆 | Proportion(i) | Pr(i,t) | wp(i,t) | Z(t) | %P/T | Z(t) at p0 = 0.05% | % P/T at p0 = 0.05% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SK | L | 1,181,666 | 7,982 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 11,420 | 4,867 | 0.41 | 307 | 0.26 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 5,710 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 2,855 | |||||||
MB | L | 1,377,517 | 9,304 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 9,766 | 4,162 | 0.30 | N/A | N/A |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 4,883 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 2,441 | |||||||
NB | L | 779,993 | 5,268 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 14,812 | 6,312 | 0.81 | 1,753 | 0.23 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 7,406 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 3,703 | |||||||
NS | L | 977,457 | 6,602 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 13,144 | 5,602 | 0.57 | 1,042 | 0.11 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 6,572 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 3,286 | |||||||
PE | L | 158,158 | 1,068 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 20,063 | 8,550 | 5.41 | 3,991 | 2.52 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 10,031 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 5,016 | |||||||
NL | L | 515,828 | 3,522 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 17,042 | 7,263 | 1.41 | 2,703 | 0.52 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 8,521 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 4,261 | |||||||
YK | L | 41,078 | 277 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 21,051 | 8,972 | 21.8 | 4,412 | 10.7 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 10,526 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 5,263 | |||||||
NT | L | 44,904 | 303 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 21,019 | 8,958 | 20.0 | 4,398 | 9.80 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 10,509 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 5,255 | |||||||
NV | L | 39,097 | 264 | 0.99 | 0.112 | 0.111 | 21,068 | 8,979 | 23.0 | 4,419 | 11.3 |
M | 0.99 | 0.392 | 0.386 | 10,534 | |||||||
H | 0.99 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 5,267 |
Abbreviations: H, high; L, low; M, medium; MB, Manitoba; N/A; not applicable; NB, New Brunswick; NL, Newfoundland and Labrador; NS, Nova Scotia; NT, Northwest Territories; NV, Nunavut; PE, Prince Edward Island; P/T, province/territory; SK, Saskatchewan; YK, Yukon
Note: At p0 when augmenting with volunteer samples from sample group i, Z(t), and the underlying values for the calculation, including λ, the probability of not being in the expected healthcare visits population, E. Also shown is the percentage of the provincial population that would need to participate in volunteer testing at temporal unit t