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. 2021 Jun 9;47(5-6):243–250. doi: 10.14745/ccdr.v47i56a01

Table 5. Optimum number of additional samples needed to detect COVID-19.

P/T i Population size E 𝜆 Proportion(i) Pr(i,t) wp(i,t) Z(t) %P/T Z(t) at p0 = 0.05% % P/T at p0 = 0.05%
SK L 1,181,666 7,982 0.99 0.112 0.111 11,420 4,867 0.41 307 0.26
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 5,710
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 2,855
MB L 1,377,517 9,304 0.99 0.112 0.111 9,766 4,162 0.30 N/A N/A
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 4,883
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 2,441
NB L 779,993 5,268 0.99 0.112 0.111 14,812 6,312 0.81 1,753 0.23
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 7,406
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 3,703
NS L 977,457 6,602 0.99 0.112 0.111 13,144 5,602 0.57 1,042 0.11
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 6,572
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 3,286
PE L 158,158 1,068 0.99 0.112 0.111 20,063 8,550 5.41 3,991 2.52
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 10,031
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 5,016
NL L 515,828 3,522 0.99 0.112 0.111 17,042 7,263 1.41 2,703 0.52
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 8,521
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 4,261
YK L 41,078 277 0.99 0.112 0.111 21,051 8,972 21.8 4,412 10.7
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 10,526
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 5,263
NT L 44,904 303 0.99 0.112 0.111 21,019 8,958 20.0 4,398 9.80
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 10,509
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 5,255
NV L 39,097 264 0.99 0.112 0.111 21,068 8,979 23.0 4,419 11.3
M 0.99 0.392 0.386 10,534
H 0.99 0.494 0.490 5,267

Abbreviations: H, high; L, low; M, medium; MB, Manitoba; N/A; not applicable; NB, New Brunswick; NL, Newfoundland and Labrador; NS, Nova Scotia; NT, Northwest Territories; NV, Nunavut; PE, Prince Edward Island; P/T, province/territory; SK, Saskatchewan; YK, Yukon

Note: At p0 when augmenting with volunteer samples from sample group i, Z(t), and the underlying values for the calculation, including λ, the probability of not being in the expected healthcare visits population, E. Also shown is the percentage of the provincial population that would need to participate in volunteer testing at temporal unit t