Fig. 7.

Average COVID-19 deaths per day (per million). Comparison between the basic behavioural scenarios and the special groups ones. (a) simulated data from the region of functioning healthcare system, the observed parameter for the two groups has different variance and slightly different median. (b) simulated data from the region of collapse, the observed parameter for the two groups has similar variance but significantly different median. Notice how there are more than two order of magnitudes of difference in daily deaths between (a) functioning healthcare and (b) collapsed healthcare. It is also interesting to notice in (b) the logarithmic relationship to the cluster size.