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. 2021 Nov;21(11):1529–1538. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00289-9

Table 3.

Infection rates and adjusted HRs for PCR-positive infection after the first dose of either vaccine, by days since vaccination (primary analysis)

Person-days at risk PCR tests PCR testing rate per 1000 person-days Infection events Infection rate per 10 000 person-days Adjusted HR (95% CI) p value
Unvaccinated 338 003 15 392 45·54 723 21·39 1 (ref) ..
0–6 days 47 591 2482 52·15 105 22·06 0·64 (0·38–1·06) 0·083
7–13 days 53 511 3189 59·60 139 25·98 0·83 (0·54–1·28) 0·404
14–20 days 50 362 2462 48·89 132 26·21 0·96 (0·57–1·60) 0·866
21–27 days 47 514 2478 52·15 95 19·99 0·92 (0·53–1·59) 0·762
28–34 days 43 136 2078 48·17 42 9·74 0·44 (0·24–0·81) 0·0087
35–48 days 63 012 4681 74·29 59 9·36 0·38 (0·19–0·77) 0·0069
≥49 days 27 499 3590 130·55 40 14·55 0·49 (0·20–1·17) 0·108
Overall 670 628 36 352 54·21 1335 19·91 .. ..

Adjusted HRs were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression according to days since the first vaccine dose; the comparator was the unvaccinated group. HRs are adjusted for age, sex, local monthly infection incidence, and long-term care facility bed capacity. 95% CIs were calculated using robust standard errors for long-term care facility-level effects. HR=hazard ratio.