Table 2.
Medians and 95% HPD intervals of posterior distributions from models of monthly weather variables.
| Temperature (°C) | log (Wind speed m/s) | Humidity (%) | Precipitation (mm) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month intercepts | ||||
| January | 4.97 (−3.90, 13.72) | 1.42 (0.64, 2.20) | 73.93 (33.57, 114.84) | 1.57 (−0.91, 4.06) |
| February | 6.29 (−2.60, 15.04) | 1.50 (0.72, 2.29) | 76.31 (35.89, 117.27) | 3.49 (1.01, 5.97) |
| March | 11.01 (2.11, 19.77) | 1.53 (0.75, 2.32) | 71.92 (31.48, 112.91) | 2.69 (0.21, 5.18) |
| April | 16.11 (7.21, 24.87) | 1.59 (0.81, 2.37) | 70.57 (30.14, 111.57) | 4.54 (2.05, 7.02) |
| May | 21.14 (12.25, 29.89) | 1.54 (0.75, 2.32) | 73.82 (33.41, 114.80) | 4.33 (1.85, 6.82) |
| June | 24.01 (15.13, 32.74) | 1.45 (0.66, 2.23) | 83.38 (43.03, 124.30) | 10.81 (8.33, 13.29) |
| July | 28.53 (19.60, 37.31) | 1.53 (0.75, 2.31) | 77.39 (36.80, 118.57) | 4.93 (2.08, 7.79) |
| August | 28.15 (19.19, 36.97) | 1.50 (0.71, 2.28) | 78.71 (37.95, 120.05) | 4.78 (1.91, 7.65) |
| September | 24.09 (15.11, 32.92) | 1.46 (0.67, 2.24) | 78.91 (38.07, 120.33) | 3.39 (0.52, 6.25) |
| October | 19.20 (10.23, 28.03) | 1.41 (0.62, 2.19) | 74.32 (33.48, 115.75) | 4.16 (1.30, 7.03) |
| November | 13.20 (4.24, 22.02) | 1.38 (0.60, 2.16) | 77.13 (36.37, 118.47) | 2.30 (−0.57, 5.17) |
| December | 5.82 (−3.10, 14.61) | 1.41 (0.63, 2.20) | 70.13 (29.52, 111.29) | 1.28 (−1.58, 4.13) |
| Hyperparameters | ||||
| SD for the Gaussian observations | 0.08 (0.06, 0.09) | 0.04 (0.03, 0.04) | 1.15 (0.95, 1.38) | 0.03 (0.01, 0.08) |
| Range of SPDE model (km) | 378.63 (308.76, 461.48) | 129.85 (99.81, 163.70) | 247.64 (193.90, 310.69) | 108.06 (91.61, 126.83) |
| Variance of SPDE model | 0.01 (0.00, 0.03) | 2.61 (0.81, 6.18) | 1.04 (0.35, 2.44) | 0.20 (0.16, 0.25) |
| Coefficient of AR model | 0.96 (0.92, 0.99) | 0.99 (0.97, 1.00) | 0.96 (0.92, 0.99) | 0.18 (0.03, 0.33) |