Table 1.
Estimated tMRCA on HA, NA, and PB2 and 95% HPD intervals have been calculated using BEAST analysis. The posterior probabilities are of the branch before the node. Node numbers are depicted in Supplementary Figure S7.
| Node | tMRCA | 95% HPD Interval | Posterior Probability | Origin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PB2 | 1 | April 2017 | January 2017–August 2017 | 1.0000 | European LPAI |
| 2 | May 2010 | November 2009–November 2010 | 0.5341 | ||
| 3 | February 2010 | August 2009–August 2010 | 0.9228 | ||
| HA | 1 | July 2017 | May 2017–September 2017 | 0.5786 | H5N8 HPAI 2016–2017 |
| 2 | June 2017 | March 2017–August 2017 | 1.0000 | ||
| 3 | September 2016 | July 2016–November 2016 | 0.311 | ||
| NA | 1 | January 2017 | October 2016–May 2017 | 0.7741 | H5N6 HPAI 2017 |
| 2 | December 2016 | August 2016–April 2017 | 1.0000 | European LPAI | |
| 3 | July 2015 | December 2014–January 2016 | 1.0000 |