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. 2021 Jun 25;11:12833. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-92202-2

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Probability map of vulnerability for the current scenario and delta maps of projected changes between current and future scenarios. (a) Vulnerability areas based on the overlap of coral occurrence, coral cover and coral bleaching probabilities of the Brazilian coast for the current (2000–2014) scenario and (b,c) delta maps between current and the future scenarios (2040–2050 minus 2000–2014, left; and 2090–2100 minus 2000–2014, right) under a “business as usual” warming rate (RCP 8.5). The blue-red and green-purple scale bars represent absolute probability values and delta probability values, respectively. Maps created in ArcMap version 10.2 (https://desktop.arcgis.com/en/arcmap/).