Table 2.
Total infection peak magnitude and peak timing with different school closure/ social distancing scenarios - no closure as baseline, 4 weeks closure, 8 weeks closure, 16 weeks closure, and 24 weeks closure in the medium infection rate.
| R0=2.1 | Duration of Closure | 1st Wave |
2nd Wave |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peak (%) | Peak Time | Peak (%) | Peak Time | ||
| No Intervention | 1.42% | 226th day | – | – | |
| Early Trigger (0.001) | 4 weeks | 0.0004% | 20th day | 1.43% | 283rd day |
| 8 weeks | 1.42% | 345th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 1.42% | 471st day | |||
| 24 weeks | 1.41% | 594th day | |||
| Late Trigger (0.5) | 4 weeks | 0.11% | 141st day | 1.30% | 289th day |
| 8 weeks | 1.27% | 356th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 1.26% | 488th day | |||
| 24 weeks | *out of 600 range | ||||
| Very late Trigger (1.0) | 4 weeks | 0.22% | 156th day | 1.18% | 292nd day |
| 8 weeks | 1.10% | 359th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 1.09% | 501st day | |||
| 24 weeks | *out of 600 range | ||||