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. 2021 Jun 26;161:113630. doi: 10.1016/j.dss.2021.113630

Table 3.

High Infection rate, total infection peak magnitude and peak timing with different school closure/ social distancing scenarios - no closure as baseline, 4 weeks closure, 8 weeks closure, 16 weeks closure, and 24 weeks closure.

R0=3.15 Duration of Closure 1st Wave
2nd Wave
Peak (%) Peak Time Peak (%) Peak Time
No Intervention 3.52% 130th day
Early Trigger (0.001) 4 weeks 0.0008% 23rd day 3.52% 168th day
8 weeks 3.50% 208th day
16 weeks 3.50% 289th day
24 weeks 3.48% 368th day
Late Trigger (0.5) 4 weeks 0.30% 89th day 3.12% 172nd day
8 weeks 2.97% 216th day
16 weeks 2.93% 301st day
24 weeks 2.92% 387th day
Very late Trigger (1.0) 4 weeks 0.57% 97th day 2.76% 174th day
8 weeks 2.54% 220th day
16 weeks 2.46% 312nd day
24 weeks 2.44% 404th day