Table 3.
High Infection rate, total infection peak magnitude and peak timing with different school closure/ social distancing scenarios - no closure as baseline, 4 weeks closure, 8 weeks closure, 16 weeks closure, and 24 weeks closure.
| R0=3.15 | Duration of Closure | 1st Wave |
2nd Wave |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peak (%) | Peak Time | Peak (%) | Peak Time | ||
| No Intervention | 3.52% | 130th day | – | – | |
| Early Trigger (0.001) | 4 weeks | 0.0008% | 23rd day | 3.52% | 168th day |
| 8 weeks | 3.50% | 208th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 3.50% | 289th day | |||
| 24 weeks | 3.48% | 368th day | |||
| Late Trigger (0.5) | 4 weeks | 0.30% | 89th day | 3.12% | 172nd day |
| 8 weeks | 2.97% | 216th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 2.93% | 301st day | |||
| 24 weeks | 2.92% | 387th day | |||
| Very late Trigger (1.0) | 4 weeks | 0.57% | 97th day | 2.76% | 174th day |
| 8 weeks | 2.54% | 220th day | |||
| 16 weeks | 2.46% | 312nd day | |||
| 24 weeks | 2.44% | 404th day | |||