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. 2021 Jun 26;161:113630. doi: 10.1016/j.dss.2021.113630

Table 6.

Highlight of different scenarios (i.e., different closure triggers and lengths) for the three transmission rates which minimizes both the cumulative attack rate (CAR) and total death toll, separately. The bold rows indicate the scenarios for each transmission rate, that minimizes these objectives. Note that independently minimizing CAR and minimizing total deaths result in the same scenarios.


Objectives
Min. CAR Min. Death
Threshold Closure Reduction (%) Threshold Closure Reduction (%)
R0 = 1.57 1% 4 weeks −0.296 1% 4 weeks −0.326
R0 = 1.57 1% 8 weeks −0.779 1% 8 weeks −0.791
R0 = 1.57 *out of 600 day range
R0 = 1.57 *out of 600 day range
R0 = 2.10 1% 4 weeks −0.029 1% 4 weeks −0.030
R0 = 2.10 1% 8 weeks −0.040 1% 8 weeks −0.041
R0 = 2.10 1% 16 weeks −0.061 1% 16 weeks −0.070
R0 = 2.10 1% 24 weeks −0.749 1% 24 weeks −0.781
R0 = 3.15 1% 4 weeks −0.027 1% 4 weeks −0.027
R0 = 3.15 1% 8 weeks −0.033 1% 8 weeks −0.034
R0 = 3.15 1% 16 weeks −0.038 1% 16 weeks −0.037
R0 = 3.15 1% 24 weeks −0.041 1% 24 weeks −0.041