Table 6.
Highlight of different scenarios (i.e., different closure triggers and lengths) for the three transmission rates which minimizes both the cumulative attack rate (CAR) and total death toll, separately. The bold rows indicate the scenarios for each transmission rate, that minimizes these objectives. Note that independently minimizing CAR and minimizing total deaths result in the same scenarios.
| Objectives |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min. CAR | Min. Death | |||||
| Threshold | Closure | Reduction (%) | Threshold | Closure | Reduction (%) | |
| R0 = 1.57 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.296 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.326 |
| R0 = 1.57 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.779 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.791 |
| R0 = 1.57 | *out of 600 day range | |||||
| R0 = 1.57 | *out of 600 day range | |||||
| R0 = 2.10 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.029 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.030 |
| R0 = 2.10 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.040 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.041 |
| R0 = 2.10 | 1% | 16 weeks | −0.061 | 1% | 16 weeks | −0.070 |
| R0 = 2.10 | 1% | 24 weeks | −0.749 | 1% | 24 weeks | −0.781 |
| R0 = 3.15 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.027 | 1% | 4 weeks | −0.027 |
| R0 = 3.15 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.033 | 1% | 8 weeks | −0.034 |
| R0 = 3.15 | 1% | 16 weeks | −0.038 | 1% | 16 weeks | −0.037 |
| R0 = 3.15 | 1% | 24 weeks | −0.041 | 1% | 24 weeks | −0.041 |