Table 2.

Total effects of social distancing policies on COVID-19 cases and deaths

	Cumulative Daily Cases	Cumulative Daily Deaths
Total Effects of Social Distancing Policies	RR (95% CI)	RR (95% CI)
Primary Analysis (all states)	0.85 (0.83, 0.86)	0.88 (0.86, 0.91)
Sensitivity Analysis a	0.86 (0.85, 0.87)	0.90 (0.87, 0.92)
	Change in predicted cases per 100,000 (95% CI)	Change in predicted deaths per 100,000 (95% CI)
Difference at 14 days	− 518.92 (− 827.70, − 210.14)	−11.02 (− 23.57, 1.54)
Difference at 21 days	−4175.46 (− 6910.06, − 1440.86)	−77.60 (− 168.81, 13.61)

RR relative risk, CI confidence interval, NEB non-essential businesses

Note: negative numbers represent cases or deaths prevented

^a Sensitivity Analysis included all states except New York and New Jersey