Table 3.

Median (2.5%–97.5 CI) values of additional Social distancing days (sum of social distancing level each day for 365 days) and number of COVID-19 deaths and associated (based on median values) Economy costs of social distancing, Value of statistical lives lost and Hospitalisation costs for social distancing level = 1.0 for 365 days after implementation of social distancing

	Suppression scenario A3	Suppression scenario B4
Social distancing days (#)	101 (71–210)	115 (52–225)
Economy costs of social distancing (billion $)	21.21	24.15
COVID-19 deaths (#)	124 (66–261)	190 (67–411)
Value of statistical lives lost ($ billion)	0.61	0.93

1. Economy costs of social distancing = $210 million per social distance day.

2. Value of statistical life = $4.9 million.

3. Social distancing is implemented for 40 days after which gradual relaxation over 60 days occurs once the weekly average of new daily recorded cases declines to 20.

4. No minimum of 40 days of social distancing; gradual relaxation over 60 days occurs once the weekly average of new daily recorded cases declines to 20