Skip to main content

Table 3.

GRADE summary of findings.

Outcomes No of participants (studies), follow up Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Relative effect* (95% CI) Anticipated absolute effects
Risk with benign nodule Risk difference contralateral cancer
Age 764 (4 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 1.16 (0.82–1.64) 228 per 1000 27 more per 1000 (33 fewer to 98 more)
Sex 967 (6 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 0.84 (0.56–1.26) 262 per 1000 32 fewer per 1000 (96 fewer to 47 more)
Size of primary lesion 601 (5 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 1.18 (0.67–2.09) 195 per 1000 27 more per 1000 (55 fewer to 141 more)
CLNM 890 (4 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 1.16 (0.83–1.62) 237 per 1000 28 more per 1000 (32 fewer to 98 more)
HT 931 (4 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 1.57 (1.13–2.20) 220 per 1000 87 more per 1000 (22 more to 163 more)
Multifocality of primary lesion 764 (4 observational studies) ⨁◯◯◯
Very lowa
OR 3.93 (2.70–5.73) 189 per 1000 289 more per 1000 (197 more to 383 more)
Multifocality of contralateral lesion 690 (3 observational studies) ⨁◯◯◯
Very lowb,c
OR 1.32 (0.56–3.10) 204 per 1000 49 more per 1000 (79 fewer to 239 more)
Capsular invasion 764 (4 observational studies) ⨁⨁◯◯
Low
OR 1.61 (1.10–2.36) 223 per 1000 93 more per 1000 (17 more to 181 more)

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI); aThe Harbord test result for multifocality of primary lesion suggests that the presence of publication bias may distort the meta-analysis; bHigh I2 (68%) and non-overlapping CI suggest that important inconsistency which lowers our certainty in effect; cWide CIs do not exclude important benefit or harm which lowers our certainty in effect.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence – High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect; Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate, the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different; Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited, the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect; Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate, the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.