. 2021 May 25;102(5):2194–2209. doi: 10.1111/ssqu.12992

TABLE 1.

Binomial Probit Analysis of Voting for Trump in 2020 Presidential Election

Predictor Variable	β	SE	Change inProbability Vote Trump ^†
Important Issues
Covid‐19	`‐0.286` ^***	`0.078`	`‐0.07`
Economy	`0.271` ^**	`0.097`	`0.07`
`Environment`	`‐0.152`	`0.139`	`–`
`Health Care`	`‐0.020`	`0.101`	`–`
`Immigration`	`0.088`	`0.136`	`–`
`Law & Order`	`0.434` ^***	`0.135`	`0.12`
`Race Relations`	`‐0.388` ^***	`0.125`	`‐0.10`
`Party Identification`	`0.961` ^***	`0.081`	`0.37`
`Liberal‐Conservative`	`0.478` ^***	`0.083`	`0.15`
`Economic Evaluations`	`0.181` ^***	`0.058`	`0.10`
`Police‐Minority Relations`	`0.412` ^***	`0.078`	`0.17`
`Racial Resentment`	`0.239` ^***	`0.071`	`0.09`
`Sociodemographics`
`Age`	`‐0.005`	`0.004`	`–`
`Education`	`‐0.102`	`0.072`	`–`
`Gender`	`‐0.440` ^***	`0.120`	`‐0.05`
`Income`	`‐0.232` ^**	`0.094`	`‐0.05`
`Ethnic/racial minority`	`‐0.450` ^***	`0.135`	`‐0.05`
`Constant`	`−2.285` ^***	`0.314`	`–`

McKelvey R ² = 0.82. N = 1535.

Percentage correctly predicted = 90.5.

^***

p ≤ 0.001,

^**

p ≤ 0.01; one‐tailed test.

^{^†}

Change in probability vote Trump when predictor variable is varied across its range with other predictors held at mean values.