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. 2021 May 11;40(19):4252–4268. doi: 10.1002/sim.9026

TABLE 6.

Sensitivity Analysis results for the incubation period of COVID‐19

Parameters
π=0.05
π=0.1
π=0.2
π=0.5
α
2.36 (2.21, 2.49) 2.25  (2.12, 2.46) 2.23  (1.91, 2.41) 1.79  (1.47, 2.11)
β
0.12  (0.11, 0.13) 0.12  (0.12, 0.13) 0.13  (0.12, 0.14) 0.16  (0.15, 0.17)
Mean 7.61  (6.92, 7.74) 7.26  (6.65, 7.39) 6.89  (6.31, 7.09) 5.64  (5.14, 5.94)
Q 0.05 2.44  (2.15, 2.53) 2.29  (1.98, 2.32) 2.05  (1.56, 2.21) 1.22  (0.76, 1.56)
Q 0.25 5.07  (4.58, 5.13) 4.81  (4.36, 4.82) 4.45  (3.81, 4.67) 3.17  (2.47, 3.57)
Q 0.50 7.36  (6.69, 7.44) 7.01  (6.44, 7.06) 6.61  (5.98, 6.81) 5.17  (4.45, 5.56)
Q 0.75 9.86  (8.96, 10.07) 9.43  (8.62, 9.67) 9.02  (8.28, 9.29) 7.61  (7.03, 7.94)
Q 0.90 12.23  (11.03, 12.58) 11.71  (10.67, 12.25) 11.32  (10.31, 11.74) 10.08  (9.28, 10.49)
Q 0.95 13.67  (12.30, 14.15) 13.11  (11.88, 13.88) 12.74  (11.51, 13.35) 11.67  (10.56, 12.40)
Q 0.975 14.93  (13.36, 15.52) 14.33  (12.93, 15.35) 13.99  (12.52, 14.79) 13.11  (11.67, 14.26)
Q 0.99 16.39  (14.63, 17.15) 15.75  (14.15, 17.01) 15.45  (13.72, 16.64) 14.83  (12.96, 16.57)

Table 6 summarizes the point estimates and 95% confidence intervals of parameters, mean, and quantiles, where α,β are the parameters of the Weibull distribution; Mean is the sample mean of incubation period, and Q 0.05, Q 0.25, Q 0.50, Q 0.75, Q 0.95, Q 0.975, Q 0.99 denote the 5%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 95%, 97.5%, 99% sample quantiles of the incubation period, respectively.