Table 4.
Results of the Joinpoint regression models for trend analysis of CVD DALY, YLD and YLL rates in total population of the world countries by HDI level from 1990 to 2019
| Index | Segments | HDI (Low/Medium) | HDI (High/Very High) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time interval | APC (95% CI) | Time interval | APC (95% CI) | ||
| YLD | Trend 1 | 1990–1995 | 0.3a (0.1, 0.6) | 1990–1994 | −1.6a(− 2.1, − 1.0) |
| Trend 2 | 1995–1998 | − 0.4 (− 1.3, 0.6) | 1994–2003 | − 0.2a (− 0.4, − 0.0) | |
| Trend 3 | 1998–2001 | 0.8 (− 0.1, 1.8) | 2003–2010 | − 0.7a (− 1.0, − 0.4) | |
| Trend 4 | 2001–2004 | − 0.6 (− 1.6, 0.4) | 2010–2019 | 0.1 (− 0.0, 0.3) | |
| Trend 5 | 2004–2008 | 0.6a(0.1, 1.1) | – | – | |
| Trend 6 | 2008–2019 | −0.2a(− 0.3, − 0.1) | – | – | |
| AAPC | 1990–2019 | 0.1 (− 0.1, 0.2) | 1990–2019 | −0.4a (− 0.5, − 0.3) | |
| YLL | Trend 1 | 1990–1995 | 0.7a (0.2, 1.3) | 1990–2000 | −2.0a (− 2.3, − 1.8) |
| Trend 2 | 1995–2013 | −0.3a (− 0.4, − 0.2) | 2000–2003 | 1.7 (− 1.5, 5.1) | |
| Trend 3 | 2013–2019 | − 1.0a (− 1.4, − 0.6) | 2003–2013 | − 2.2a (− 2.5, − 1.9) | |
| Trend 4 | – | – | 2013–2019 | 0.5 (− 0.1, 1.0) | |
| AAPC | 1990–2019 | − 0.3a (− 0.4, − 0.2) | 1990–2019 | − 1.2a (− 1.5, − 0.8) | |
| DALY | Trend 1 | 1990–1995 | 0.7a (0.2, 1.3) | 1990–2000 | − 1.9a (− 2.2, − 1.7) |
| Trend 2 | 1995–2013 | − 0.3a (− 0.4, − 0.2) | 2000–2003 | 1.6 (− 1.5, 4.9) | |
| Trend 3 | 2013–2019 | −1.0a (− 1.4, − 0.6) | 2003–2013 | −2.1a (− 2.4, − 1.8) | |
| Trend 4 | – | – | 2013–2019 | 0.5 (− 0.1, 1.0) | |
| AAPC | 1990–2019 | − 0.3a (− 0.4, − 0.1) | 1990–2019 | − 1.1a (− 1.5, − 0.8) | |
a Significant at alpha = 0.05