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. 2021 Mar 2;73(5):750–758. doi: 10.1002/art.41597

Table 4.

Validation of the extrapolated estimates of life expectancy after diagnosis of RA based on 7 years of follow‐up of the RA cohort compared with 14 years of actual follow‐up, calculated by the Kaplan‐Meier method*

Sex and age at diagnosis Age at diagnosis, mean ± SD years Censoring rate at end of 7th year, %

Estimate using the extrapolation based on the first 7 years to the 14th year,

months

Actual follow‐up of 14 years by Kaplan‐Meier estimate, months Relative bias, %
All
Men (n = 3,824) 55.33 ± 14.14 92.5 143.40 ± 2.96 140.32 ± 0.80 2.2
Women (n = 12,718) 51.97 ± 13.86 96.8 155.97 ± 7.79 154.06 ± 0.37 1.2
Ages 16–49 years
Men (n = 1,350) 40.27 ± 7.62 98.3 155.19 ± 14.29 159.83 ± 0.65 –2.9
Women (n = 5,599) 39.59 ± 7.94 99.2 164.02 ± 5.54 164.20 ± 0.24 –0.1
Ages 50–65 years
Men (n = 1,459) 57.02 ± 4.27 95.1 150.76 ± 5.86 146.32 ± 1.19 3.0
Women (n = 4,800) 56.53 ± 4.24 98.1 152.33 ± 9.41 157.69 ± 0.46 –3.4
Ages >65 years
Men (n = 1,015) 72.94 ± 5.75 81.2 104.42 ± 6.95 104.94 ± 1.89 –0.5
Women (n = 2,319) 72.43 ± 5.67 88.3 127.33 ± 8.13 121.62 ± 1.30 4.7
*

Only data for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cases diagnosed between 2003 and 2009 were included in the extrapolation. Except where indicated otherwise, values are the mean ± SEM.

Relative bias = (extrapolated estimate – Kaplan‐Meier estimate)/Kaplan‐Meier estimate.