TABLE A2.
Factors applied in model
| Model factors—England | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected GDP (pre pandemic) | £1900 | billion | ||
| Population | 56 000 000 | |||
| Vaccination rate | 2 500 000 | /wk | ||
| External infections | 200 | cases/wk | ||
| Vaccine effectiveness | 1st Round | 65% | ||
| 2nd Round | 20% | |||
| Gap between 1st and 2nd VAX | 12 | Weeks | ||
| New case (Infectious) | From infection | 7 | Days | |
| Hospitalisation | From case | 7 | days | |
| Death | From case | 14 | Days |
| Split by age >65 | Group1 | Group2 | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 18% | 82% | ||
| Accept vaccination | population | 90% | 80% | 82% |
| Cases | Of total cases | 14% | 86% | |
| Hospital admission rate | Of cases | 16% | 1.5% | 3.5% |
| Mortality rate | Of cases | 6% | 0.12% | 1.0% |
| Lost life years/death | /deaths | 8.1 | 27.0 | 10 |