TABLE 3.
Poverty and macroeconomic impacts of MIRAGRODEP‐COVID 19 scenarios for 2020 (April and September 2020 scenarios)
| MIRAGRODEP COVID‐19 scenario | ||
|---|---|---|
| April 2020 | September 2020 | |
| Real GDP (percentage change from previous year) | ||
| World | −5.1 | −7.1 |
| Low‐ and middle‐income countries | −3.6 | −5.5 |
| Africa, South of Sahara | −8.9 | −5.8 |
| South Asia | −5.0 | −12.9 |
| Agri‐food real value‐added (percentage change from previous year) | ||
| World | −1.8 | 2.5 |
| Low‐ and middle‐income countries | 0.1 | 2.3 |
| Africa, South of Sahara | 3.9 | 2.0 |
| South Asia | −2.0 | 0.1 |
| Changes in extreme poverty ($1.90 pp/pd poverty line, millions of people; changes from baseline) | ||
| Low‐ and middle‐income countries | 147.5 | 149.7 |
| Africa, South of Sahara | 79.4 | 50.5 |
| South Asia | 42.1 | 72.5 |
Source: MIRAGRODEP and POVANA simulations (April and September 2020 scenarios).
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