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. 2021 Jul 5;8:43. doi: 10.1186/s40621-021-00339-5

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 1 — Nationwide Trends in Firearm Purchasing (Panel A) and Firearm Violence (Panel B). A) Monthly firearm purchases per 100,000 population, with training data from January 2011 through February 2020 (data source: FBI National Instant Criminal Background Check System). B) Monthly injuries (nonfatal and fatal) from intentional, interpersonal firearm violence per 100,000 population, with training data from January 2015 through February 2020 (data source: Gun Violence Archive). Dotted line indicates March 2020. Dark and light blue bands indicate 80 and 95% prediction intervals, respectively