Table 1.
Variables Category | Variable Name | Distribution * | Value (Base Case) | Relative Change (Range) | Reference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prevalence of COVID-19 | COVID_prev | PERT | 0.156 | 0.079–0.412 | [3 (Supplement)] |
Additional revenue per day due earlier discharge | cRev_day_POCT | uniform | €323.91 | ±20% (€259.13–€388.69) | Calculated using data from the Institut für das Entgeltsystem im Krankenhaus (InEK) [20 (Supplement)] |
Real life specificity of Sofia testing | Sofia_COVID_spec | uniform | 0.989 | 95% CI (0.958–0.998) | [12 (Supplement)] |
Opportunity costs due to blocking twin bed | cOpp_POCT | uniform | €690.92 | ±20% (€522.74–€829.1) | Calculated from InEK data [20 (Supplement)] |
Probability of correctly excluding SARS-CoV-2 | Clin_spec_COVID | PERT | 0.683 | 95% CI (0.60–0.758) | [8 (Supplement)] |
Sensitivity of diagnosing SARS-CoV-2 infection | Clin_sens_COVID | PERT | 0.806 | 95% CI (0.729–869) | [8 (Supplement)] |
Costs of enoxaparin per day | cAntithromb_day | uniform | €7.09 | ±20% (€5.67–€8.51) | Rote Liste [Red List] 2021 |
Costs of Sofia SARS-CoV FIA® | cSofia_COVID | uniform | €12 | ±20% (€9.6–€14.40) | As declared by manufacturer |
Real life sensitivity of Sofia test | Sofia_COVID_sens | PERT | 0.80 | 95% CI (0.644–0.909) | [12 (Supplement)] |
Secondary cases due to one unknown COVI-19 case | sec_COVID | PERT | 0.025 | 95% CI (0.013–0.05) | [17 (Supplement)] |
Costs of productivity loss per day | cPL_day | uniform | €167.58 | ±20% (€134.06–€201.1) | Calculated from [27 (Supplement)] |
Number of days of health care workers out of work due to COVID-19 | sick_days | uniform | 15 | +12 (27) | [25 (Supplement)] |
Probability that hospitalization is required | pHosp | PERT | 0.1010 | 95% CI (0.097–0.1050) | [14 (Supplement)] |
Costs of RT-PCR performed in external laboratory | cRT-PCR_ext | uniform | €42.74 | +20% (€51.29) | Nationwide laboratory inquiry |
in probabilistic sensitivity analysis.