Table 7.
Estimation Energy Consumption and CO2 emission |
|
A guess for sufficient vaccination of the world population for one campaign (1.56 × 1010 doses [92] are required globally) | |
Materials Production | |
• Injection syringes | 4.6 × 105 kWh Assumptions Electricity consumption = 1,786 kWh (Estimated based on [114] for 60 M pcs, conversion = 5.6 R/kWh [115]); 2.98 × 10−5 kWh/pcs |
• Vials | 4.4 × 107 kWh 7.6 × 108 MJ (2.1 × 107 kWh) Assumptions: 0.014 kWh/vials or power and 0.243 MJ/vials of natural gas [90] (1 vial is equivalent to 5 doses [113]) |
• Supporting material | Gloves = 1.40 × 105 kWh Shield = 1.02 × 1010 MJ (2.83 × 109 kWh) Masks = 4.68 × 107 kWh Disinfectant = 3.40 × 107 kWh Total = 1.03 × 1010 kWh Assumptions: 3 × 10−5 kWh/pair for gloves [14] 30.8 MJ/kg for shield (81 g/pcs) [14] 0.01 kWh/pcs for masks [14] The required amount of gloves, shield and masks are assumed to be 30% of the required doses, with the consideration of they are utilised in a batch and PPE is not used in all countries 2.2 × 10−3 kWh/doses for disinfectant [43]. Please refer to Table 6 for detailed assumption |
Vaccination centres | 1.87 × 108 kWh Assumptions: 1.2 × 10−2 kWh/doses based on [68]. Please refer to Table 6 for detailed assumption |
Vaccine Manufacturing | 5.2 × 105 kWh Assumptions: 3.34 kWh of power/g of vaccine [92]) (1 dose = 1 × 10−4 g of mRNA [93]) |
Cold supply chain | 2.5 × 108 kWh Assumptions: Assume to be 69.8% share of the vaccine value chain based on Table 5. |
Storage (low temp) | Assume no additional low temperature is required by sharing the existing refrigeration facilities and by dry ice accounted in the cold supply chain |
Wasted resources | 4.5 × 106 kWh 2.1 × 106 kWh Assumptions Assume 10% [147] vaccine dose is wasted where additional vaccine manufacturing (1.56 × 109) is required with syringe and vials |
Medical waste treatment | 1.3 × 108 MJ (3.7 × 107 kWh) Assumptions: 4.4 kg fuel/t. The energy density is 34.2 MJ/L 0.0832 kg is equivalent to 1 L Incineration treatment is applied (as discussed in Table 4). The weight of five dose vial = 2.517 g [186] The weight of the syringe is assumed to be 2 g. The estimation limited to the disposal of vials and syringe. |
Estimated Sum (to be updated subject to the vaccination and pandemic development) | ~1.08 × 1010 kWh (~5.13 × 1012 gCO2eq) for the estimated global dosage (1.56 × 1010 doses) Equivalent to ~0.69 kWh/doses (~329 gCO2eq/doses) |
Note: *the global average energy conversion factor (475 gCO2eqv/kWh) is assumed based on IEA [187]. The energy mix at a place should be applied if the sourcing and flow is known.