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. 2021 Jul 6;11:13868. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-93412-4

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Accuracy of strong reciprocity measures in predicting cooperation. (a) Study 1: Distribution of predictive accuracy (the difference between actual and predicted contributions for each participant) in NTL, TP and TD. (b) Study 2: Distribution of predictive accuracy in TP and TD. Note that zero indicates highest predictive accuracy possible. Figures S7 and S8 present this analysis separately for those with (Fig. S7) and without (Fig. S8) correct social dilemma understanding, with very similar results.