Table 3.

List of different trajectories through disease progression, with stages and, in brackets, the distribution from which corresponding timings are drawn. For their definition see table 7. The available stages are Infected, Asymptomatic, Mild and Severe symptoms, admitted to a regular Hospital or an ICU/ITU ward, and, finally, as outcomes, Recovered or Dead.

trajectory	stages
asymptomatic	I[βI]	A[C14]					R
mild	I[βI]	M[C20]					R
severe	I[βI]	M[C20]	S[C20]				R
death at home	I[βI]	M[LNM]	S[C3]				D
ward	I[βI]	M[LNM]	H[βH]	M[C8]			R
death in ward	I[βI]	M[LNM]	H[βD]				D
ICU/ITU	I[βI]	M[LNM]	H[LNICU]	ICU[eICU]	H[eH]	M[C3]	R
death in ICU/ITU	I[βI]	M[LNM]	H[LNICU]	ICU[eD]			D