Appendix 1—table 4. Excess meningococcal A deaths per 100,000 between 2020 and 2030 per scenario, country and modelling group.
The counterfactual comparative scenario (BAU – business as usual) is no disruption to routine immunisation (RI) or campaign immunisation (SIAs – supplementary immunisation activities). Countries shown are Burkina Faso (BFA), Niger (NER), Nigeria (NGA), and Chad (TCD).
| Country | 50% RI, Cambridge | 50% RI, KP | Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Cambridge | Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, KP | 50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Cambridge | 50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NER | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NGA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TCD | 0.02 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 |