Appendix 1—table 6. Excess yellow fever deaths per 100,000 between 2020 and 2030 per scenario, country and modelling group.

The counterfactual comparative scenario (BAU – business as usual) is no disruption to routine immunisation (RI) or campaign immunisation (SIAs – supplementary immunisation activities). Countries shown are the Democratic Republic of Congo (COD), Ghana (GHA) and Nigeria (NGA).

Country	50% RI, Imperial	50% RI, Notre Dame	Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Imperial	Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Notre Dame	50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Imperial	50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Notre Dame
COD	0.38	0.01	−0.23	−0.01	0.15	0
GHA	0.33	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.39	0.1
NGA	0.02	0.1	0	−0.02	0.01	0.07