Appendix 1—table 9. Excess meningococcal A deaths per 100,000 per year between 2020 and 2030 per scenario, year and modelling group.
The counterfactual comparative scenario (BAU – business as usual) is no disruption to routine immunisation (RI) or campaign immunisation (SIAs – supplementary immunisation activities).
| Year | 50% RI, Cambridge | 50% RI, KP | Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Cambridge | Postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, KP | 50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, Cambridge | 50% RI, postpone 2020 SIAs - > 2021, KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2027 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 |
| 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 |
| 2029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2030 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 |