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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Osteoporos Int. 2020 Aug 3;32(2):261–269. doi: 10.1007/s00198-020-05528-4

Table 3:

Sensitivity and specificity for predicting incident vertebral fracture at any level according to trabecular vBMD and vertebral strength measured at L2 and estimated L2 from T8 measurements.

Lumbar Trab vBMD (≤80 mg/cm2) Lumbarestimated Trab vBMD (≤80 mg/cm2)

Sensitivity 0.79 (0.71, 0.85) 0.76 (0.68, 0.83)
Specificity 0.47 (0.41, 0.54) 0.44 (0.38, 0.51)
Pos. Predictive Value 0.43 (0.37, 0.50) 0.41 (0.35, 0.47)
Neg. Predictive Value 0.81 (0.74, 0.87) 0.79 (0.71, 0.85)

Lumbar Vertebral strength Lumbarestimated Vertebral Strength
Women ≤ 4500 N Women ≤ 4500 N
Men ≤ 6500 N Men ≤ 6500 N

Sensitivity 0.64 (0.56, 0.72) 0.63 (0.54, 0.71)
Specificity 0.60 (0.54, 0.66) 0.62 (0.56, 0.68)
Pos. Predictive Value 0.45 (0.38, 0.52) 0.45 (0.38, 0.53)
Neg. Predictive Value 0.77 (0.70, 0.82) 0.77 (0.70, 0.82)