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. 2021 Jul 8;11:14107. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-93578-x

Table 1.

Estimates of the offspring mean R and its standard deviation (σ), in addition to the coefficient of variation (CV), using the different mixture distributions, and their AIC value and corresponding Akaike weights (wi), for three COVID-19 datasets.

Dataset Distribution R (95%CI) σ (95%CI) CV (95%CI) AIC wi
Hong Kong14 NB 0.583 (0.448–0.718) 1.175 (0.944–1.490) 2.016 (1.816–2.395) 593.925 0.078
POLN 0.587 (0.456–0.779) 1.413 (0.969–2.442) 2.409 (1.869–3.426) 590.009 0.551
POWB 0.580 (0.445–0.745) 1.218 (0.970–1.734) 2.101 (1.841–2.560) 591.747 0.231
POGG 0.580 (0.3789–0.724) 1.258 (0.923–1.550) 2.171 (2.059–2.466) 592.738 0.141
India16 NB 0.484 (0.480–0.494) 0.973 (0.962–0.985) 2.009 (1.994–2.024) 163974.5 0.000
POLN 0.484 (0.477–0.491) 1.077 (1.055–1.101) 2.226 (2.195–2.258) 162980.6 0.000
POWB 0.483 (0.476–0.489) 0.997 (0.984–1.011) 2.067 (2.049–2.084) 163530.8 1.000
POGG 0.484 (0.477–0.490) 1.012 (1.000–1.024) 2.094 (2.086–2.102) 163286.5 0.000
Rwanda NB 0.259 (0.216–0.302) 0.623 (0.547–0.731) 2.406 (2.223–2.743) 1015.261 0.157
POLN 0.260 (0.219–0.311) 0.657 (0.560–0.820) 2.528 (2.267–2.892) 1013.073 0.468
POWB 0.259 (0.217–0.311) 0.631 (0.557–0.783) 2.436 (2.225–2.750) 1014.350 0.247
POGG 0.259 (0.216–0.301) 0.634 (0.561–0.706) 2.451 (2.340–2.603) 1015.667 0.128