Table 4.
Predictive models for three outcomes of interest
| Coefficient | SE | OR | P value | 95% CI | |
| Model 1: poor physical function at 6 months after hospital discharge | |||||
| Pre-injury PCS (range: 0–100) (one step increment increase) | −0.093 | 0.019 | 0.911 | <0.001 | 0.878 to 0.945 |
| Current pain at 1 month after injury (range 0–10) (one step increment increase) | 0.224 | 0.078 | 1.252 | 0.004 | 1.075 to 1.457 |
| PCS at 3 months (range: 0–100) (one step increment increase) | −0.040 | 0.014 | 0.960 | 0.005 | 0.934 to 0.988 |
| Impact of pain on walking at discharge (range: 0–10) (one step increment increase) | 0.139 | 0.057 | 1.149 | 0.015 | 1.027 to 1.285 |
| Constant | 3.745 | 1.132 | – | 0.001 | – |
| Model 2: chronic pain at 6 months after hospital discharge | |||||
| Regular analgesia use before injury | 1.813 | 0.533 | 6.130 | 0.001 | 2.158 to 17.414 |
| Pre-injury PCS (range: 0–100) (one step increment increase) | −0.039 | 0.019 | 0.962 | 0.044 | 0.926 to 0.999 |
| Pain score at 1 month after discharge (range: 0–10) (one step increment increase) | 0.270 | 0.089 | 1.310 | 0.003 | 1.099 to 1.560 |
| PCS at 3 months (range: 0–100) (one step increment increase) | −0.051 | 0.015 | 0.951 | 0.001 | 0.922 to 0.980 |
| Current pain score 3 months after discharge (range: 0–10) (one step increment increase) | 0.219 | 0.084 | 1.245 | 0.009 | 1.057 to 1.467 |
| Constant | 1.361 | 1.098 | – | 0.215 | – |
| Model 3: likely neuropathic component to pain at 6 months after hospital discharge | |||||
| Commenced on pregabalin during hospital admission | 2.340 | 1.156 | 10.377 | 0.043 | 1.076 to 100.113 |
| MCS at 1 month after discharge (range: 0–100) (one step increment increase) | −0.058 | 0.026 | 0.944 | 0.026 | 0.897 to 0.993 |
| Pain detect score at 3 months (range: −1 to 38) (one step increment increase) | 0.174 | 0.043 | 1.190 | <0.001 | 1.094 to 1.295 |
| Impact of pain on mood at 3 months after discharge (range 0–10) (one step increment increase) | 0.192 | 0.095 | 1.212 | 0.043 | 1.212 to 1.006 |
| Constant | −1.421 | 1.188 | – | 0.232 | – |
MCS, Mental Component Score; PCS, Physical Component Score.