Fig 4. Prediction.
These graphs compare the daily official reported number of cases to the simulated ones from 200 simulations using the fully-estimated model in all cities (A), Hubei province(AB), cities outside hubei province (C) from Jan 10,2020 to July 15,2020. The orange x deontes the number of daily reported cases. The blue box and whiskers show the median, interquartile range(IQR), and 1.5IQR derived from 200 simulations using the fitting model with parameters estimated from Fig 2. R2 = 0.86–0.97.