Table 5.

Results of models (using data after event closing).

			Model 0		Model 1		Model 2		Model 3		Model 4		Model 5		Model 6
			W: Not Directed												W: Directed
			${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{0}}=\mathbf{0}$				${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{0}}\ne \mathbf{0}$		${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{0}}=\mathbf{0}$		${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{0}}\ne \mathbf{0}$
			${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}={\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}=\mathbf{0}$		${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}={\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}$		${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}={\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}=\mathbf{0}$		${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}={\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}$				${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}\ne {\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}$
			${\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{1}}^{\prime }={\mathit{\rho }}_{\mathbf{2}}^{\prime }=\mathbf{0}$
			Coef.		Coef.		Coef.		Coef.		Coef.		Coef.		Coef.
Intercept			4734	***	−1545	*	403.1		−1490	*	149.0		160.9		99.43
$\mathit{P}$	${\mathit{Y}}_{\mathit{t}-\mathbf{1}}$	${\rho }_0$	-	-	-	-	0.9260	***	-	-	0.9179	***	0.9145	***	0.9108	***
		${\rho }_1$	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0913	***	0.004490	*	0.008522	**	0.01083	***
		${\rho }_2$	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.09125	***	0.004490	*	0.002066		0.003401
	${\mathit{Y}}_{\mathit{t}}$	${\rho }_1$	-	-	0.08993	***	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
		${\rho }_2$	-	-	0.08993	***	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Shop dummy			15.81		54.72		9.569		55.27		11.56		8.795		11.32
Time diff.			−1.743	***	0.1751		−0.1744	**	0.1574		−0.09451		−0.09956		−0.08190
Distance(event)			−979.1	***	−364.5	***	−45.26		−350.4	***	−22.43		−23.13		−19.84
Distance(station)			−144.9		249.9	**	5.622		264.4	**	24.46		24.48		37.82
Event scale			−889.9	***	335.1		93.48		312.3	***	−41.24		−43.46		−29.94
Normal pop.			1.149	***	1.117	***	0.07195	***	1.118	***	0.07979	***	0.08336	***	0.08576	***
AIC			30,502		30,181		26,209		30,165		26,205		26,205		26,201
Samples			1873

***: 0.1% significant, **: 1% significant, *: 5% significant.