Table 8.
Hierarchical forecasting for Australian tourism visitor nights: Coherence performance metric.
| Metric | Forecast Horizon (h) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Hierarchical level 0: Total—Australia | ||||||||
| MSE | 0.03 | 0.016 | 0.015 | 0.02 | 0.023 | 0.021 | 0.021 | 0.025 |
| Hierarchical level 1: Purpose of travel | ||||||||
| MSE | 0.0009 | 0.001 | 0.0019 | 0.0014 | 0.0011 | 0.0011 | 0.0019 | 0.0026 |
| Hierarchical level 2: States | ||||||||
| MSE | 0.00061 | 0.0008 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.1 |