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. 2021 Jul 13;36:100483. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100483

Table 1.

Parameters list for model fitting.

Parameter Meaning Setting Notes
Si Population size in the i-th age group 45 million (Bureau of Statistics, 2014) Fixed
R0 Basic reproduction number Uniform (3, 4) (Anderson et al., 2020; Sanche et al., 2020; Viceconte and Petrosillo, 2020; Mizumoto et al., 2020) R0 = 3.5 was used in the heatmap.
1/γ Average time from exposure to preclinical symptomatic (pre-symptomatic) Gamma (θ = 0.1, k = 20) days (Lauer et al., 2020; Backer et al., 2020) 1/γ = 2 days was used in the heatmap
1/δ Average time from preclinical symptomatic to clinical symptomatic Gamma (θ = 0.2, k = 20) days (Kong et al., 2020; Wei et al., 2020) 1/δ = 4 days was used in the heatmap
θ Average time from clinical symptomatic to recover for those quarantined 20 days (Deng et al., 2020) Fixed (No influence on model fitting)
cnt1ij Social contact from j-th to i-th age groups before the outbreak From surveys (Zhang et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2019)
cnt2ij Social contact from j-th to i-th age groups during the outbreak From surveys (Zhang et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2019)
p The proportion of exposure get quarantined (contact tracing) Range: (0, 0.8) Fitted by the data
ε Case isolation speed (days), from clinical symptomatic to remove for those not in quarantined Range: (1, 15) days Fitted by the data
a Parameter of the sigmoid function Uniform (0.5, 1.5) a = 1 was used in the heatmap
b Parameter of the sigmoid function Uniform (17, 20) b = 19 was used in the heatmap
scnt1 Scale parameter of social contact before the outbreak Range: (0.9, 1.3) Fitted by the data; final social contact = scnt1*cnt1ij
scnt2 Scale parameter of social contact during the outbreak Range: (0.9, 1.3) Fitted by the data; final social contact = scnt2*cnt2ij