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. 2021 Jul 13;28(4):1189–1222. doi: 10.1007/s00530-021-00818-1

Table 6.

A relative comparison of AI techniques used in tracking and prediction

Authors Year Objective AI technique Merit Demerits Results
Tuli et al. [154] 2020 The authors proposed a model which predicted daily change in cases as well as classifying them using AI Technique Inverse Weibull function Shows better prediction result compared to baseline Gaussian model Major factors like age difference, population density and temperature were not considered R2 value is 0.98
Gupta et al. [46] 2020 The authors proposed an AI-based ARIMA model for forecasting the number of cases in India and predicting the future trends ARIMA Model Can aid scientists as well as the government agencies to make their plans The model is not capable to show the output of different regions Accuracy is around 60–70%
Malik et al. [86] 2020 The authors presented an approach to predict the number of cases from early infection dynamics Gradient Descent Easy to implement and works successfully with aggregate data Changing public health protocols can skew the results R2 value is 0.57
Sina et al. [9] 2020 The authors proposed a ML-based SIER model to predict the spread of virus via human intervention ANN Shows more accuracy where the government delayed the containment Skewed results in regions where people are willing to quarantine themselves and restrict social contact Root mean Square came out to be 1028.98 for logistic model in Italy
Bengio et al. [15] 2020 The authors proposed a model to curb the exponential growth of the COVID-19 via contact tracing ML Can give information about the individual risk in a detailed manner Security breaches can violate the privacy of the users
Ahmada et al. [1] 2020 The authors identified the number of confirmed cases using AI Technique Multivariate linear regression Successfully shows real-time outbreak even with small datasets Lack of historic data as previous pandemics were different and their results cannot be used here Models should be based on multiple types of data
Liu et al. [83] 2020 The authors proposed a model for real-time prediction of COVID-19 based on Internet searches and news alerts using AI Techniques LASSO multi-variable regularized linear model Able to predict output 2 days prior Depends upon the geographical location Normalized root mean square value was greater than 1
Ayyoubz-adeh et al. [11] 2020 The authors analyzed the Google trends and predict the incidence of COVID-19 at different region LSTM Very low training errors are discovered Limited access of Google search at some regions Root mean square value for LSTM model came out to be 27.187