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. 2021 Jun 18;127(2):196–204. doi: 10.1016/j.bja.2021.05.001

Table 1.

Observed number of procedures vs expected number of procedures. Class 1, emergency surgery within 72 h; Class 2, urgent surgery within 4 weeks; Class 3, semi-urgent surgery within 3 months; Class 4, elective surgery over 3 months. CI, confidence interval.

Class 1
Class 2
Class 3
Class 4
Observed, N Percentage of expected (95% CI) Observed, N Percentage of expected (95% CI) Observed, N Percentage of expected (95% CI) Observed, N Percentage of expected (95% CI)
January 2020 72 528 99.8 (92.6–108.2) 35 067 106 (95.4–119.2) 216 455 101.5 (91.6–113.7) 75 195 98.0 (84.0–117.5)
February 2020 67 141 92.4 (85.7–100.1) 31 839 96.2 (86.6–108.2) 201 663 97.7 (87.9–110.0) 72 343 90.3 (77.9–107.3)
March 2020 62 355 85.8 (79.6–93.0) 29 629 89.5 (80.5–100.7) 149 742 69.5 (62.8–77.8) 44 496 57.3 (49.7–69.5)
April 2020 48 798 67.1 (62.3–72.8) 16 525 49.9 (44.9–56.1) 37 120 18.4 (16.5–20.7) 1620 2.3 (1.9–2.7)
May 2020 59 597 82.0 (76.1–88.9) 18 012 54.4 (48.9–61.2) 47 274 22.9 (20.6–25.8) 3542 4.5 (3.8–5.5)
June 2020 64 178 88.3 (82.0–95.7) 21 772 65.7 (59.1–73.9) 77 975 38.2 (34.4–43.1) 11 033 14.1 (12.0–17.3)
July 2020 70 633 97.2 (90.2–105.3) 24 988 75.4 (67.8–84.8) 113 141 53.2 (48.0–59.6) 23 619 30.3 (25.6–36.9)
August 2020 68 898 94.8 (88.0–102.8) 23 183 69.9 (62.9–78.6) 118 748 59.1 (53.0–66.8) 31 785 40.7 (34.3–49.7)
September 2020 68 942 94.9 (88.0–102.8) 27 145 81.8 (73.6–92.0) 155 569 74.9 (67.5–84.3) 46 239 59.2 (50.1–72.3)
October 2020 67 314 92.6 (86.0–100.4) 27 933 84.1 (75.7–94.7) 168 026 79.4 (71.6–89.1) 53 518 68.6 (58.0–83.7)
November 2020 62 125 85.5 (79.3–92.6) 27 007 81.3 (73.2–91.5) 164 060 79.4 (71.4–89.4) 50 154 64.2 (54.4–78.5)
December 2020 51 221 70.5 (65.4–76.2) 24 313 73.2 (65.8–82.3) 133 035 67.4 (60.4–76.3) 35 179 45.1 (38.2–55.0)