Table 1.
Final epidemic size (FES), mortality rate (M) and effective basic reproductive number (Re) for three IDR scenarios (average IDR values are given in brackets).
| Scenario | A (%) | Strategy | FES [%] | M [%] | Re |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDR1 | 0 | None | 57 | 0.39 | 1.52 |
| mCT | 55 | 0.36 | 1.50 | ||
| 40 | CT | 54 | 0.35 | 1.49 | |
| CP | 48 | 0.31 | 1.38 | ||
| CT + CP | 47 | 0.31 | 1.38 | ||
| 60 | CT | 53 | 0.34 | 1.46 | |
| CP | 44 | 0.29 | 1.36 | ||
| CT + CP | 42 | 0.28 | 1.31 | ||
| IDR2 | 0 | None | 57 | 0.39 | 1.52 |
| mCT | 55 | 0.36 | 1.50 | ||
| 40 | CT | 51 | 0.33 | 1.44 | |
| CP | 45 | 0.29 | 1.36 | ||
| CT + CP | 43 | 0.29 | 1.35 | ||
| 60 | CT | 49 | 0.32 | 1.42 | |
| CP | 40 | 0.27 | 1.32 | ||
| CT + CP | 38 | 0.25 | 1.29 | ||
| IDR3 | 0 | None | 56 | 0.37 | 1.51 |
| mCT | 47 | 0.30 | 1.40 | ||
| 40 | CT | 43 | 0.28 | 1.37 | |
| CP | 39 | 0.25 | 1.31 | ||
| CT + CP | 35 | 0.23 | 1.28 | ||
| 60 | CT | 40 | 0.25 | 1.33 | |
| CP | 34 | 0.22 | 1.27 | ||
| CT + CP | 26 | 0.17 | 1.21 |
Values for different transmission mitigation strategies and different app adoption rates (A) are compared. FES and mortality rates are calculated at the end of each simulation, while Re values are estimated as averages for days 20 to 25 of each simulation.