Figure 1.

Age-structured COVID-19 model informed with population size, contact rates, and mobility from the Philippines. (A) Starting population age distribution used in the Philippines national model. (B) Unstratified model structure, coloured by infectious state (blue = non-infectious; pink = moderately infectious; red = highly infectious). (C) Stratification by infection and detection status (same colour scheme as in A) for actively infectious exposed and infected compartments. (D) Heterogeneous mixing matrices by age in the absence of NPIs (brighter colours indicate higher average number of contacts per day). (E) Community quarantine driven mobility adjustments applied to the mixing matrices (before seven-day moving average smoothing). Other locations include average from retail and recreation, supermarket and pharmacy, parks, and public transport. We provide panels A and E for the regional models in Fig. S4.