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. 2021 Jul 15;374:n1554. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1554

Table 2.

Results from univariable and multivariable analyses of baseline covariates and risk of inflammatory bowel disease

Predictors Univariable Multivariable*
Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value
Age 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 0.51 1.01 (0.99 to 1.02) 0.16
Sex (men) 1.03 (0.86 to 1.24) 0.73 0.93 (0.72 to 1.20) 0.59
North America and Europe 4.04 (3.36 to 4.86) <0.001 5.57 (3.97 to 7.81) <0.001
Education: <0.001 0.02
 None 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 Secondary or high school 1.26 (1.01 to 1.58) 1.60 (1.13 to 2.26)
 College, university, or trade 2.24 (1.78 to 2.81) 1.57 (1.07 to 2.26)
Alcohol†: <0.001 0.34
 <1 serving/month 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 1 serving/ month to <1 serving/week 3.52 (2.46 to 5.04) 1.21 (0.82 to 1.80)
 ≥1 serving/week 2.93 (2.28 to 3.77) 0.92 (0.67 to 1.26)
Current smoking 0.78 (0.61 to 1.00) 0.05 0.73 (0.51 to 1.06) 0.10
Physical activity (MET score): 0.16
 Low (<600) 1.00 (ref)
 Moderate (600 to <3000) 1.28 (0.95 to 1.71)
 High (≥3000) 1.30 (0.98 to 1.74)
Energy (kcal) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.00) 0.13 1.00 (0.99 to 1.00) 0.08
Body mass index: 0.03 0.78
 Normal (<25) 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 Overweight (25 to <30) 1.09 (0.88 to 1.34) 0.91 (0.69 to 1.19)
 Obese (≥30) 1.38 (1.09 to 1.75) 0.96 (0.70 to 1.32)
Waist to hip ratio 1.80 (0.61 to 5.28) 0.28
Location: 0.002 0.91
 Urban 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 Rural 0.75 (0.62 to 0.90) 0.99 (0.76 to 1.28)

MET=metabolic equivalent of task.

*

Ultra-processed food intake in servings per day was used as main predictor.

For example, per serving: beer 14 g, wine 16 g, vodka, rum, spirits 10 g, liqueur 27 g.