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. 2021 Jun 9;27(7):1290–1297. doi: 10.1038/s41591-021-01408-4

Table 4.

Observed versus expected venous and arterial thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events after COVID-19 vaccination

Age group Number study individuals vaccinated Venous thromboembolic events (including CVST) Arterial thromboembolic events Hemorrhagic events
Observed eventsa Expected number of eventsb Observed–expected (95% CI) Observed eventsa Expected number of eventsb Observed–expected (95% CI) Observed eventsa Expected number of eventsb Observed–expected (95% CI)
ChAdOx1
16–39 181,635 30 11.1 18.90 (8.42–30.25) 15 4.3 10.67 (3.33–18.81) 9 5.0 4.04 (−1.57–10.47)
40–59 740,800 178 106.9 71.11 (41.66–100.51) 516 283.8 232.23 (182.63–282.63) 58 41.9 16.13 (−0.85–34.07)
60–79 606,854 439 423.4 15.60 (−44.53–74.57) 1,600 1,521.0 78.96 (−32.80–188.70) 131 149.9 −18.85 (−52.50–14.35)
80+ 178,673 246 275.3 −29.28 (−83.56–25.40) 1,157 1,519.0 −362.03 (−488.57–239.94) 103 151.9 −48.95 (−87.64–10.46)
BNT162b2
16–39 144,393 24 22.9 1.09 (−9.34–12.21) 5 8.9 −3.90 (−8.95–1.79) 10 10.2 −0.24 (−6.86–7.11)
40–59 230,802 80 97.3 −17.29 (−38.85–4.78) 217 258.0 −41.00 (−76.37–4.39) 37 38.1 −1.11 (−15.32–13.30)
60–79 409,429 259 357.2 −98.22 (−144.82–51.85) 1,156 1,283.4 −127.38 (−222.72–35.17) 88 126.4 −38.41 (−65.85–11.24)
80+ 36,428 58 66.0 −8.00 (−26.38–11.01) 225 364.0 −138.96 (−177.19–99.42) 29 36.4 −7.43 (−20.35–6.31)

aThe observed events were incident cases after vaccination counted for the observed duration of the post-vaccination period. bThe expected events are the number of events per day in the pre-vaccination period divided by the population and multiplied by the days at risk in the post-vaccination period for all vaccinated and then summed. cThe difference between expected (the number of events per day in the pre-vaccination period divided by the population and multiplied by the days at risk in the post-vaccination period for all vaccinated and then summed) and observed events during the post-vaccination period, with CIs obtained from a parametric bootstrap, was based on the Poisson distribution using 10,000 samples. There was limited opportunity for matching in this analysis, and the findings, therefore, need to be interpreted with caution.