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. 2021 Jul 15;7(8):1158–1165. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.1700

Table 3. Performance of TVUS ET Thresholds for Identifying Endometrial Cancer Among a Simulated Cohort of US Black and White Women With Postmenopausal Bleeding.

Threshold, mm % (95% CI) AUC (95% CI)
Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
Black women
≥3 51.1 (49.6-52.6) 55.0 (54.5-55.5) 11.2 (10.8-11.6) 91.0 (90.6-91.4) 0.57 (0.56-0.57)
≥4 47.5 (46.0-49.0) 64.9 (64.4-65.3) 13.1 (12.5-13.6) 91.7 (91.4-92.1)
≥5 43.7 (42.3-45.2) 74.1 (73.7-74.5) 16 (15.2-16.5) 92.2 (91.9-92.5)
White women
≥3 89.5 (89.1-89.8) 25.7 (25.6-25.9) 11.8 (11.7-11.9) 95.6 (95.5-95.8) 0.73 (0.73-0.74)
≥4 87.9 (87.6-88.3) 42.7 (42.5-42.9) 14.6 (14.4-14.7) 97.0 (96.9-97.0)
≥5 86.0 (85.6-86.4) 58.5 (58.3-58.7) 18.7 (18.5-18.9) 97.4 (97.3-97.5)

Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; ET, endometrial thickness; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; TVUS, transvaginal ultrasound.