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. 2020 Dec 18;70(8):1529–1537. doi: 10.1136/gutjnl-2020-321849

Table 3.

Absolute risk and Cox proportional hazards models for overall, sex-stratified and age-stratified analyses in IDA analytic cohort

Cohort characteristics Absolute estimates Cox proportional hazards models
Baseline
at risk (N)
Number of YCRC cases 5-year cumulative incidence % (95% CI) Risk difference % (95% CI) NNS (95% CI) Unadjusted HR
(95% CI)
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
Overall IDA 47 800 184 0.45
(0.38–0.51)
0.39
(0.33–0.46)
259.8
(226.8–301.6)
10.35
(7.89–13.57)
10.81
(8.15–14.33)
No IDA 191 200 73 0.05
(0.04–0.07)
Ages <30 years IDA 4925 7 0.14
(0.04–0.27)
0.14
(0.04–0.26)
703.6
(377.2–2422)
29.22
(3.59–237.47)
147.67
(3.43–6350.88)
No IDA 20 505 1 0.01
(0.00–0.02)
Ages 30–39 years IDA 12 255 21 0.20
(0.12–0.28)
0.18
(0.10–0.26)
583.6
(399.2–943.8)
14.53
(5.86–36.00)
14.00
(5.48–35.76)
No IDA 50 152 6 0.02
(0.00–0.03)
Ages 40–49 years IDA 30 620 156 0.61
(0.51–0.72)
0.53
(0.41–0.63)
196.3
(171.1 –235.9)
9.62
(7.21–12.83)
10.06
(7.47–13.56)
No IDA 120 543 66 0.09
(0.07–0.11)
Men IDA 22 445 160 0.85
(0.72–1.00)
0.78
(0.64–0.92)
140.3
(121.5–165.6)
14.04
(10.17–19.39)
14.00
(10.04–19.54)
No IDA 89 780 48 0.08
(0.06–0.11)
Men,
aged <30 years
IDA 1235 7 0.58
(0.17–1.04)
0.56
(0.15–1.00)
176.4
(95.2–625)
29.44
(3.62–239.31)
38.76
(4.50–334.13)
No IDA 5141 1 0.02
(0.00–0.06)
Men,
aged 30–39 years
IDA 3812 13 0.37
(0.28–0.58)
0.34
(0.14–0.55)
293.2
(185.2–625)
14.35
(4.68–44.02)
11.96
(3.76–38.08)
No IDA 16 201 4 0.03
(0.01–0.07)
Men,
aged 40–49 years
IDA 17 398 140 1.02
(0.84–1.19)
0.91
(0.74–1.09)
124.3
(106.4–149.3)
13.56
(9.64–19.09)
13.95
(9.81–19.85)
No IDA 68 438 43 0.10
(0.07–0.14)
Women IDA 25 355 24 0.11
(0.07–0.17)
0.08
(0.03–0.13)
1056.5
(741–1692)
3.85
(2.20–6.74)
4.24
(2.34–7.69)
No IDA 101 420 25 0.03
(0.02–0.05)
Women,
aged <30 years
IDA 3690 0
No IDA 15 364 0
Women,
aged 30–39 years
IDA 8443 8 0.12
(0.04–0.22)
0.11
(0.03–0.21)
1055.4
(588.2–2500)
16.09
(3.42–75.76)
13.99
(2.76–70.85)
No IDA 33 951 2 0.01
(0.00–0.02)
Women,
aged 40–49 years
IDA 13 222 16 0.14
(0.07–0.22)
0.07
(0.00–0.16)
826.4
(555.6–1428.6)
2.74
(1.45–5.19)
3.23
(1.65–6.31)
No IDA 52 105 23 0.07
(0.04–0.10)

Risk difference corresponds to difference between exposed and unexposed cumulative incidence results. Number needed to scope (NNS) is the inverse of the CRC prevalence among exposed individuals.

Absolute estimates derived from 5-year cumulative incidence curve models accounting for censoring with bootstrapped 95% CIs.

Unadjusted model includes matching strata variable as random intercept; adjusted model additionally adjusts for race/ethnicity, BMI, prevalent diabetes, smoking status and aspirin use.

Empty cells reflect having zero cases, limiting the ability to conduct stratified analyses.

BMI, body mass index; CRC, colorectal cancer; IDA, iron-deficiency anaemia; YCRC, young-onset colorectal cancer.