Table 2.
2017 negotiation medications | 2017 price-negotiated medications | Comparison group medications | Change relative to comparison group | ||||||
Coefficient | P value | 95% CI | Coefficient | P value | 95% CI | Coefficient | P value | 95% CI | |
Cost per DDD (US$/DDD)* | |||||||||
Baseline level | 215.58 | 0.000 | 204.37 to 226.80 | 274.83 | 0.000 | 267.18 to 282.48 | −59.16 | 0.000 | −68.55 to −49.77 |
Baseline trend | −2.24 | 0.000 | −3.11 to −1.37 | −1.71 | 0.000 | −2.35 to −1.07 | −0.29 | 0.463 | −1.08 to 0.50 |
Level change after intervention | −71.21 | 0.000 | −81.56 to −60.85 | 1.54 | 0.801 | −10.81 to 13.89 | −87.69 | 0.000 | −102.76 to −72.61 |
Trend change after intervention | −0.95 | 0.316 | −2.85 to 0.95 | −0.24 | 0.723 | −1.63 to 1.14 | −0.05 | 0.951 | −1.75 to 1.64 |
Absolute change at 6 months after intervention | −76.91 | 0.000 | −90.25 to −63.57 | 0.08 | 0.989 | −11.60 to 11.76 | −88.00 | 0.000 | −102.32 to −73.68 |
Relative change at 6 months after intervention | −48.88 | 0.000 | 53.71 to 44.04 | 0.04 | 0.989 | 4.82 to 4.89 | −32.94 | 0.000 | −36.24 to −29.64 |
Absolute change by end of observation period | −83.56 | 0.000 | −107.86 to −59.27 | −1.62 | 0.848 | −18.70 to 15.47 | −88.36 | 0.000 | −109.37 to −67.36 |
Relative change by end of observation period | −58.99 | 0.000 | 69.05 to 48.92 | −0.74 | 0.846 | 8.19 to 6.71 | −33.33 | 0.000 | −38.55 to −28.11 |
Volume (no of DDDs)* | |||||||||
Baseline level | 23.69 | 0.000 | 20.01 to 27.37 | 8.76 | 0.000 | 7.83 to 9.70 | 14.92 | 0.000 | 11.21 to 18.64 |
Baseline trend | 0.86 | 0.000 | 0.55 to 1.17 | 0.22 | 0.000 | 0.14 to 0.30 | 0.64 | 0.000 | 0.33 to 0.95 |
Level change after intervention | 9.38 | 0.003 | 3.45 to 15.31 | −1.11 | 0.143 | −2.62 to 0.40 | 10.49 | 0.001 | 4.51 to 16.48 |
Trend change after intervention | 4.99 | 0.000 | 4.33 to 5.66 | −0.21 | 0.017 | −0.38 to −0.04 | 5.20 | 0.000 | 4.53 to 5.88 |
Absolute change at 6 months after intervention | 39.35 | 0.000 | 33.73 to 44.97 | −2.36 | 0.002 | −3.79 to −0.94 | 41.72 | 0.000 | 36.04 to 47.39 |
Relative change at 6 months after intervention | 85.59 | 0.000 | 65.26 to 105.93 | −16.41 | 0.000 | −24.65 to −8.18 | 164.19 | 0.000 | 82.47 to 245.92 |
Absolute change by end of observation period | 74.31 | 0.000 | 66.09 to 82.54 | −3.83 | 0.001 | −5.92 to −1.74 | 78.14 | 0.000 | 69.84 to 86.45 |
Relative change by end of observation period | 142.98 | 0.000 | 110.18 to 175.78 | −24.04 | 0.000 | −34.47 to −13.62 | 261.47 | 0.000 | 134.94 to 387.99 |
Spending (US$)* | |||||||||
Baseline level | 5279.02 | 0.000 | 4892.18 to 5665.86 | 2408.59 | 0.000 | 2199.23 to 2617.96 | 2879.15 | 0.000 | 2449.58 to 3308.72 |
Baseline trend | 97.36 | 0.000 | 64.96 to 129.76 | 38.78 | 0.000 | 21.25 to 56.31 | 57.75 | 0.002 | 21.77 to 93.73 |
Level change after intervention | −2347.96 | 0.000 | −2972.24 to −1723.67 | −270.61 | 0.110 | −606.29 to 65.07 | −2061.56 | 0.000 | −2754.26 to −1368.86 |
Trend change after intervention | 135.79 | 0.000 | 65.81 to 205.77 | −62.48 | 0.002 | −100.30 to −24.65 | 198.35 | 0.000 | 120.66 to 276.05 |
Absolute change at 6 months after intervention | −1533.22 | 0.000 | −2123.59 to −942.85 | −645.46 | 0.000 | −964.59 to −326.33 | −871.43 | 0.010 | −1526.98 to −215.87 |
Relative change at 6 months after intervention | −19.63 | 0.000 | −25.72 to −13.54 | −18.89 | 0.000 | −26.46 to −11.32 | −22.32 | 0.000 | −34.13 to −10.51 |
Absolute change by end of observation period | −582.68 | 0.178 | −1446.50 to 281.13 | −1082.79 | 0.000 | −1551.16 to −614.41 | 517.06 | 0.285 | −442.46 to 1476.58 |
Relative change by end of observation period | −6.86 | 0.146 | −16.12 to 2.39 | −29.36 | 0.000 | −38.99 to −19.72 | 12.00 | 0.346 | −12.98 to 36.98 |
US$ in 2016
*Except for relative changes which are expressed in percent.
CI, confidence interval; DDD, defined daily doses.