Table 4.
Relative squared error of the median predicted HIV prevalence in 2004 for females and males (depicted in Fig. 1a,d).
| Model | Females | Males |
|---|---|---|
| Si_Ba | 1.142 | 1.035 |
| Si_IO | 0.267 | 0.681 |
| Si_VL | 2.048 | 2.868 |
| Si_IO_VL | 0.011 | 0.148 |
| St_Ba | 1.710 | 0.849 |
| St_IO | 0.445 | 0.211 |
| St_RG | 0.044 | 0.065 |
| St_IO_RG | 0.012 | 0.034 |
Models: Si_Ba: Simpact 1.0 basic model; Si_IO: Simpact 1.0 model with inflow and outflow; Si_VL: Simpact 1.0 model with VL-dependent HIV transmission hazard; Si_IO_VL: Simpact 1.0 model with inflow, outflow, VL-dependent HIV transmission hazard; St_Ba: StepSyn 1.0 basic model; St_IO: StepSyn 1.0 model with inflow and outflow; St_RG: StepSyn 1.0 model with STI life history explicitly modeled; St_IO_RG: StepSyn 1.0 model with inflow, outflow and STI life history explicitly modeled.