Table 2.
Numbers and rates of loss of primary or secondary caregivers due to COVID-19-associated deaths and excess mortality from March 1, 2020, to April 30, 2021
|
Orphanhood* |
Loss of primary caregivers† |
Loss of secondary caregivers (other co-residing grandparents or kin) |
Loss of primary or secondary caregivers |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | Rate per 1000 children | Number | Rate per 1000 children | Number losing a female caregiver | Number losing a male caregiver | Number losing two caregivers | Number | Rate per 1000 children | ||
| Europe | ||||||||||
| England and Wales | 8495 | 0·6 | 8886 | 0·6 | 442 | 1118 | 4 | 10 450 | 0·8 | |
| France | 4064 | 0·3 | 4371 | 0·3 | 204 | 965 | 2 | 5542 | 0·4 | |
| Germany‡ | 1590 | 0·1 | 1832 | 0·1 | 279 | 681 | 2 | 2794 | 0·2 | |
| Italy | 3201 | 0·3 | 3568 | 0·4 | 629 | 1580 | 5 | 5782 | 0·6 | |
| Poland‡ | 3159 | 0·5 | 4097 | 0·6 | 1720 | 2786 | 14 | 8617 | 1·3 | |
| Russia | 22293 | 0·8 | 29 724 | 1·0 | 12 352 | 14 338 | 100 | 56 514 | 2·0 | |
| Spain | 2309 | 0·3 | 2669 | 0·3 | 1181 | 2119 | 10 | 5979 | 0·7 | |
| Americas | ||||||||||
| Argentina‡ | 13 003 | 1·0 | 14 117 | 1·1 | 1898 | 3474 | 15 | 19 504 | 1·5 | |
| Brazil | 113 150 | 2·1 | 130 363 | 2·4 | 22 639 | 36 714 | 183 | 189 899 | 3·5 | |
| Colombia | 29 851 | 2·0 | 33 293 | 2·3 | 5919 | 10 824 | 47 | 50 083 | 3·4 | |
| Mexico | 131 325 | 3·3 | 141 132 | 3·5 | 23 544 | 38 682 | 191 | 203 549 | 5·1 | |
| Peru | 92 702 | 9·6 | 98 975 | 10·2 | 11 670 | 25 831 | 96 | 136 572 | 14·1 | |
| USA | 104 884 | 1·4 | 113 708 | 1·5 | 8770 | 14 143 | 71 | 136 692 | 1·8 | |
| Africa | ||||||||||
| Kenya‡ | 4312 | 0·2 | 4500 | 0·2 | 60 | 309 | 0 | 4869 | 0·2 | |
| Malawi‡ | 2233 | 0·2 | 2367 | 0·2 | 30 | 135 | 0 | 2532 | 0·3 | |
| Nigeria‡ | 3853 | 0·0 | 3947 | 0·0 | 108 | 431 | 1 | 4487 | 0·0 | |
| South Africa | 82 422 | 4·4 | 94 625 | 5·1 | 12 773 | 11 748 | 96 | 119 242 | 6·4 | |
| Zimbabwe‡ | 2667 | 0·4 | 2798 | 0·4 | 55 | 134 | 0 | 2987 | 0·5 | |
| Southeast Asia | ||||||||||
| India‡ | 116 263 | 0·3 | 119 170 | 0·3 | 26 291 | 41 298 | 213 | 186 972 | 0·5 | |
| Eastern Mediterranean | ||||||||||
| Iran | 40 426 | 1·7 | 40 996 | 1·7 | 3320 | 9836 | 28 | 54 180 | 2·3 | |
| Western Pacific | ||||||||||
| Philippines‡ | 6502 | 0·2 | 7227 | 0·2 | 1292 | 1873 | 10 | 10 402 | 0·3 | |
| Total of 21 included countries | 788 704 | .. | 862 365 | .. | 135 176 | 219 019 | 1088 | 1 217 648 | .. | |
| Estimated global total (95% CrI)§ | 1 042 000 (806 000–1 083 000) | .. | 1 134 000 (884 000–1 185 000) | .. | .. | .. | .. | 1 562 000 (1 299 000–1 683 000) | .. | |
Data are total number of children or rate per 1000 children younger than 18 years. CrI=credible interval.
*
Losing mother, father, or both.
†
Losing one or both parents or losing one or both skip-generation grandparents.
‡
All estimates for these countries are based on COVID-19 deaths, due to either the unavailability of data for excess deaths, or in the case of Poland, to COVID-19 deaths being higher than excess deaths.
§
95% CrIs provide uncertainty surrounding our minimum estimate, rather than attempting to account for all sources of error.