Table 9.

Median (M), lower (L) and upper (U) 95% prediction intervals for the time (days post introduction) to 10% seroprevalence of classical swine fever virus in a pig herd

Scenario		Herd size
		50			100			200			1,000
		M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U
Short infectious period	Low transmission rate	34	26	51	39	31	56	44	36	65	55	46	71
	Medium transmission rate	24	20	30	25	22	31	27	24	33	31	28	35
	High transmission rate	20	16	24	21	18	24	22	19	25	24	22	27
Long infectious period	Low transmission rate	41	30	56	44	36	57	49	41	63	62	52	77
	Medium transmission rate	30	25	36	31	28	36	33	30	38	37	34	41
	High transmission rate	26	22	31	27	23	31	28	25	31	30	28	33