Table 10.

Median (M), lower (L) and upper (U) 95% prediction intervals for the seroprevalence of classical swine fever virus in a pig herd at 40 days post introduction

Scenario		Herd size
		50			100			200			1,000
		M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U
Short infectious period	Low transmission rate	20	0	61	12	0	33	6	0	19	1	0	4
	Medium transmission rate	92	72	100	85	0	97	79	26	91	58	37	76
	High transmission rate	98	90	100	98	93	100	97	90	99	92	85	96
Long infectious period	Low transmission rate	9	0	26	5	0	18	3	0	9	0	0	2
	Medium transmission rate	51	29	72	44	26	57	36	13	46	19	0	30
	High transmission rate	69	51	88	65	49	81	61	47	71	51	39	60