Table 12.

Median (M), lower (L) and upper (U) 95% prediction intervals for the time (days post introduction) to 20% fever prevalence of classical swine fever virus in a pig herd

Scenario		Herd size
		50			100			200			1,000
		M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U	M	L	U
Short infectious period	Low transmission rate	29	17	50	33	24	61	39	30	59	51	42	65
	Medium transmission rate	15	10	19	16	13	21	18	15	23	22	19	26
	High transmission rate	11	8	14	12	9	14	13	11	16	15	13	18
Long infectious period	Low transmission rate	25	18	41	30	21	47	35	28	49	47	38	63
	Medium transmission rate	14	11	19	16	13	19	18	15	23	22	19	26
	High transmission rate	11	9	14	12	9	15	13	10	16	15	13	18